The TapeGolden State Warriors 72% by our numbers — the book implies 80%. We like them — just not at that price.
MatchupBookModel
New Orleans Pelicans—28%
Golden State Warriors80%72%
Posted
72%
Book
80%
Latest stored publish 72%. Gridlines are the scale.
Golden State WarriorsA tier72%
Elo edge +192 (incl. home adv)
Form & head-to-head
New Orleans Pelicans28%
Rating 1409 · 4-6 · 120.5 scored, 120.8 allowed per game · L2 streak
Lvs LA Clippers123-139 · away · Nov 8
Lvs Minnesota Timberwolves109-115 · home · Nov 6
Wvs Utah Jazz120-113 · home · Nov 4
Wvs Memphis Grizzlies135-134 · away · Nov 2
Wvs Atlanta Hawks121-99 · home · Oct 31
Golden State Warriors72%
Rating 1527 · 7-3 · 118.6 scored, 113.6 allowed per game · W7 streak
Wvs Orlando Magic126-119 · home · Nov 7
Wvs Miami Heat120-100 · home · Nov 5
Wvs Phoenix Suns116-113 · home · Nov 2
Wvs LA Clippers124-112 · home · Nov 1
Wvs Los Angeles Lakers112-95 · home · Oct 30
First meeting in the model's history.
Who’s out
INJURY: EV not trustworthy — Will Richard, Kristaps Porzingis Out for Golden State Warriors. Long-term absence (priced into ratings): Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III Out for Golden State Warriors. Day-to-day/questionable for Golden State Warriors: Gui Santos. Opponent context: Yves Missi Out for New Orleans Pelicans — supports the pick, never downgrades it. This pick’s probability was cut for injuries.