The TapeGolden State Warriors 70% by our numbers — the book implies 68%. Priced about right — no edge either way.
Posted
70%
Book
68%
Latest stored publish 70%. Gridlines are the scale.
Golden State WarriorsA tier70%
Elo edge +250 (incl. home adv)
Who’s out
Injury note: Kristaps Porzingis Out for Golden State Warriors. Long-term absence (priced into ratings): Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III Out for Golden State Warriors. Day-to-day/questionable for Golden State Warriors: Draymond Green, Gary Payton II, Gui Santos. Opponent context: Jonathan Isaac, Jalen Suggs, Paolo Banchero Out for Orlando Magic — supports the pick, never downgrades it. Opponent context: Noah Penda, Izaiyah Nelson Out for Orlando Magic (long-term, priced into ratings). INJURY: EV not trustworthy — Kristaps Porzingis Out for Golden State Warriors. Long-term absence (priced into ratings): Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III Out for Golden State Warriors. Day-to-day/questionable for Golden State Warriors: Draymond Green, Gary Payton II, Gui Santos. Opponent context: Jonathan Isaac, Jalen Suggs, Paolo Banchero Out for Orlando Magic — supports the pick, never downgrades it. Opponent context: Noah Penda, Izaiyah Nelson Out for Orlando Magic (long-term, priced into ratings). This pick’s probability was cut for injuries.
Orlando Magic
Golden State Warriors